Week 8 NFL Picks

Minnesota Vikings (5-2) at Cleveland Browns (0-7) in London, UK

Line: CLE +9.5


It doesn’t seem to matter who plays running back or quarterback for the Vikings. Their defense is maybe even better than advertised and the offensive line has been able to give the offensive backfield holes to run through and time to see the field. Early in the season, I thought that the Browns were on their way up, but it seems that we’re still waiting for Cleveland to improve. Myles Garrett is out for this game with a concussion, and the Browns offensive line is not nearly good enough to keep the Vikings scary defensive front away from whichever Browns quarterback is playing. Vikings 27 – Browns 13


Atlanta Falcons (3-3) at New York Jets (3-4)

Line NYJ +4.5


Atlanta has not looked right for a few weeks now. Their defense has played well, but their offense has been a shell of it’s last season self. Julio Jones finally caught a touchdown in the fog in New England last week, but those were their only points of the game (excluding the extra point). The Jets have played decent football, and considering a lot of people said their best case scenario was two wins. Well, they’ve already passed two wins, and are even lingering around playoff contention. As I mentioned last week, a few of their pass catchers have emerged as legitimate threats. Now if they could only find a quarterback to throw it to them, they’d be well set. McCown has played well, but he’s 38 years old and is the definition of a journeyman QB. That’s a recipe for at maximum, one more year. No matter how you look at it, the Falcons are the more talented team, but the Jets have somehow been playing better football. Falcons 34 – Jets 23


Oakland Raiders (3-4) at Buffalo Bills (4-2)

Line: BUF -2.5


The Raiders saved their season last week against Kansas City, but it still feels like they’ll be fighting for their playoff hopes this week. 4-4 is okay, 3-5 is all but out, especially when they’re chasing the Chiefs. The Bills are very quietly putting together a good season. Quarterback Tyrod Taylor doesn’t make mistakes very often, and hasn’t his entire career. Keeping your team out of major trouble usually translates to wins, and it has so far for Buffalo this season. If Taylor can play his usual, error-free game, the Bills should be able to gouge the Raiders with their running game. Bills 28 – Raiders 23


Chicago Bears (3-4) at New Orleans Saints (4-2)

Line: NO -8.5


This line is just too high. Chicago’s defense seems like they’re for real. Yes, New Orleans can score points in bunches, and Chicago hasn’t shown that ability, but getting Bears rookie QB Mitch Trubisky some reps should be priority number one against the weak (but better) Saints D. Saints 23 – Bears 17


Indianapolis Colts (2-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-4)

Line: CIN -10.5


You’re about to see a trend, this line is also too high. No, Indianapolis isn’t very good, but I don’t think the Bengals are 10 points better than anyone. Bengals QB Andy Dalton is consistently average at best, though he has put up two very good games this season. Jacoby Brissett, his opposing number, has earned some money this season by playing well in Andrew Luck’s stead. Brissett, the North Carolina State product, was traded early in the season from New England. He quickly learned the playbook, and, considering the dearth of talent in Indy, he’s been very good. Bengals 24 – Colts 20


Los Angeles Chargers (3-4) at New England Patriots (5-2)

Line: NE -7.5


Say it with me – the line’s too high. Two might be acceptable, but three in a row? Maybe I’m dead wrong, and I’m not picking any of these underdogs to win outright, but these are just too tasty to pass up. New England’s defense looked great against Atlanta last week, only allowing seven points. If their defense continues to play like that, they are definitely headed back to the Super Bowl, but there’s a lot of football to be played before then. The Chargers have won three straight after opening 0-4. They could very well win this game. But I doubt they will. Patriots 34 – Chargers 28


San Francisco 49ers (0-7) at Philadelphia Eagles (6-1)

Line: PHI -12.5


On the other hand, I think this line is pretty accurate. The Eagles are playing like they want to keep possession of the best record in the league. The Niners run of five straight losses by three or fewer points got blown away last week in a 30-point loss to Dallas that exposed a lot of weaknesses. Philly’s only weakness appears to be their run game, and they’ve even been patching that together fairly well with the trio of Legarrette Blount, Corey Clement and Wendell Smallwood. It was sad to see Eagles former All-Pro offensive tackle Jason Peters carted off the field with what appeared to be a broken leg at the time, and turned out to be an ACL/MCL knee injury. That looked like his swansong to me. Peters will take his rightful spot in Canton in a few years. Eagles 35 – Niners 17


Carolina Panthers (4-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-4)

Line: TB -2.5


The Panthers looked horrible last week. The receivers especially have been letting the offense down this year. Several passes have hit Panthers receivers in the hands only to be tipped in the air and picked off, including Eddie Jackson’s pick-six last week. The Bucs have not gotten themselves rolling this season at all. Jameis Winston is just not that great, and he’s still got a lot of growing up to do. Panthers 27 – Bucs 19


Houston Texans (3-3) at Seattle Seahawks (4-2)

Line: SEA -5.5


Houston’s offense has been very good since rookie Deshaun Watson took over under center. Seattle’s defense, as usual, is very good. Will one of them falter? The Texans defense and Seahawks offense are both just average. As much as I like Watson, and think he’s going to be a great NFL quarterback, Seattle is an awfully tough place to play. Will the Seahawks score enough to keep up? Seahawks 30 – Texans 21


Dallas Cowboys (3-3) at Washington Redskins (3-3)

Line: WAS +2.5


Ahhh, the good old fashioned rivalry. It’s always better when it means something. Both of these teams are hanging around the playoff hunt, but a loss here could put Washington in a big hole. The Redskins’ passing game has not really gotten over the loss of Pierre Garcon this offseason, and Terrelle Pryor has unequivocally not been the answer. The best receiver for the ‘Skins this year has been running back Chris Thompson. The Cowboys on the other hand have not been nearly as efficient as they were last year. For either of these teams, a return to last season’s form would be welcome at this point. Redskins 29 – Dallas 27


Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2) at Detroit Lions (3-3)

Line: DET +3.5


Which offense will show up? Or will both? If they both do, that would be a hell of a show. For whatever reason, it seems like only one of them shows up each week. The Steelers are getting back to their fundamentals of smash mouth football on both sides and every once in a while, taking the top off the defense. Detroit hardly ever runs the ball, but they throw it very well. Steelers 38 – Lions 31


Denver Broncos (3-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-2)

Line: KC -7.5


The Broncos have looked horrible of late and the Chiefs are about to open up a big ol’ can of whoop unless something has changed in the past week. KC is going to come out angry and fired up, coming off of consecutive losses. I don’t like Denver’s chances, even though their defense is still strong. Chiefs 31 – Broncos 20


Last Week ML: 10-5

Season: 64-42

Last Week ATS: 6-9

Season: 54-52

About The Author

Related posts

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *